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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarkets can remain resilient without imminent rate cuts, strategist saysLindsay James, investment strategist at Quilter Investors, discusses the state of the U.S. economy and why markets will be focused more on earnings growth.
Persons: Lindsay James Organizations: Quilter Investors Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBank of England could cut rates before the Fed as U.K. inflation eases, strategist saysLindsay James, investment strategist at Quilter Investors, outlines the outlook for global monetary policy and stock markets.
Persons: Lindsay James Organizations: Email Bank of England, Fed, Quilter
LONDON — Rolls-Royce shares jumped more than 8% on Thursday after the British aerospace group more than doubled its annual profits in 2023 and forecast further momentum this year. Rolls-Royce, which manufactures jet engines for commercial aircraft along with power systems for ships and submarines, posted an underlying operating profit of £1.6 billion ($2 billion) in 2023, compared to £652 million in 2022. The group also reported a record free cash flow of £1.3 billion, driven by strong operating profit and continued growth of its long-term service agreement (LTSA) book. Rolls-Royce was the top performer in Britain's FTSE 100 in 2023, soaring over 200% on the back of a profit forecast upgrade and the announcement in November that profits could quadruple by 2027. "Our strong delivery in 2023 gives us confidence in our 2024 guidance and is a significant step towards our mid-term targets," Erginbilgic added.
Persons: Tufan Erginbilgic, Royce, Erginbilgic, Cheviot Organizations: Airbus, Universal Sky, LONDON, Royce, Power Systems, Defence Locations: Barcelona, Spain, British, Britain's
LONDON — The U.K. economy slipped into a technical recession in the final quarter of last year, initial figures showed Thursday. Though there is no official definition of a recession, two straight quarters of negative growth is widely considered a technical recession. Across the whole of 2023, the British GDP is estimated to have increased by just 0.1%, compared to 2022. "These factors affected the performance of the services and construction sectors, which are the main drivers of the U.K. "Over the coming months, we expect inflation to fall, potentially easing the pressure on U.K. households, and supporting the recovery of the consumer-driven economy," Brookes added.
Persons: Jeremy Hunt, Marcus Brookes, Brookes, Neil Birrell Organizations: National Statistics, Reuters, Finance, Bank of England, Bank of England's, Quilter Investors, Premier Miton Investors Locations: British
Disney said the partnership will see it work together with Epic to create new games using its intellectual property, including Disney, Pixar, Marvel, Star Wars and Avatar. Taylor Swift performs onstage during "Taylor Swift | The Eras Tour" at Allianz Parque on November 24, 2023 in Sao Paulo, Brazil. Disney lost customers on streaming platform Disney+, but revenue was higher due to a hike in subscription costs. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Walt Disney Company share price. The Epic Games partnership could prove fruitful but is likely to be a "slow burn," he said in a note.
Persons: Bob Iger, Disney, Taylor, Taylor Swift, Buda Mendes, Ben Barringer, Quilter Cheviot, Nelson Peltz Organizations: Disney, Epic Games, Pixar, Marvel, Star Wars, ESPN, Allianz Parque, Getty, Walt Disney Company, Parks, CNBC Locations: Sao Paulo, Brazil, Buda
Titled “Eileen Agar: Flowering of a Wing: Works, 1936 -1989,” this knockout is at Andrew Kreps Gallery (through Saturday). Its title, taken from one of the canvases here, signals Agar’s lifelong devotion to nature and to ambiguous meanings. Agar may be best known for her collages and their fusion of Surrealist imagination and Cubist structure and geometry. But this show homes in on the paintings, which have a contemporary air and are plenty interesting enough. Most of the paintings here involve several shades of blue, as if haunted by Matisse’s “The Blue Window” (1913) in the Museum of Modern Art.
Persons: Hilma af, Rosie Lee Tompkins, Mary Delany, Eileen Agar, Andrew Kreps, Agar, , Matisse, Matisse’s “ Organizations: Museum of Modern Art Locations: Hilma af Klint, Sweden, United States
Tech's longtime highfliers are growing up by getting smaller
  + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( Ari Levy | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +7 min
They're still out hunting for the best technical talent, particularly in areas like artificial intelligence, but headcount growth is measured. Last year, tech companies were responding to dramatically changing market conditions — soaring inflation, rising interest rates, rotation out of risk — after an extended bull market. Meta slashed over 20,000 jobs in 2023, Amazon laid off more than 27,000 people, And Alphabet cut over 12,000 positions. Other than Nvidia , which had a banner 2023 due to soaring demand for its AI chips, none of the other mega-cap tech companies have been growing at their historic averages. By late this year, analysts are projecting growth at Meta will be back down to the low teens at best.
Persons: Tayfun, There's, Daniel Flax, Neuberger Berman, CNBC's, Morgan Stanley, Brian Nowak, Brian Olsavsky, They're, Mark Zuckerberg, Zuckerberg, Olsavsky, Phil Spencer, Justin Sullivan, Okta, Zuora, Evan Sohn, Recruiter.com, " Sohn, Susan Li, Ben Barringer, Cheviot, Barringer, , Annie Palmer Organizations: Anadolu Agency, Getty Images Technology, Amazon, Meta, hasn't, Microsoft, Activision Blizzard, SAN FRANCISCO, Activision, FTC, Getty, Federal, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Tech, Nvidia, Finance, CNBC Locations: Menlo Park , California, Silicon Valley, CALIFORNIA, San Francisco , California
Meta founder and CEO Mark Zuckerberg speaks during Meta Connect event at Meta headquarters in Menlo Park, California on September 27, 2023. Josh Edelson | AFP | Getty ImagesShares of Facebook parent company Meta jumped Friday, after the firm reported a threefold jump in fourth-quarter profit and issued its first-ever dividend. First-ever dividendMeta said it would pay investors a dividend of 50 cents a share on March 26, in the company's first-ever cash dividend. Meta also announced a $50 billion share buyback. Ben Barringer, technology analyst at Quilter Cheviot, said this represented a "symbolic moment and indicates what a turnaround story Meta has been on since its struggles in 2022."
Persons: Mark Zuckerberg, Josh Edelson, Meta, Ben Barringer, Cheviot, Barringer Organizations: Meta, AFP, Getty, Facebook, Revenue, Investors, Microsoft Locations: Menlo Park , California, U.S
London CNN —Shares in Tesla plunged as much as 11% after the market opened Thursday, wiping $73 billion off the company’s market value hours after it warned of slowing growth in electric car sales and an existential threat from Chinese rivals. While it reported a sizeable 38% increase in deliveries last year compared with 2022, Tesla had previously targeted a 50% annual growth rate averaged over several years. At the time, investors were worried about the outlook for Tesla’s sales and profitability, as well as the health of the US economy. Dan Ives, an analyst with market research firm Wedbush, said Tesla’s earnings call provided investors with “minimal answers” to the company’s shrinking margins. China’s BYD beat Tesla in the final three months of last year, selling more cars than Elon Musk’s carmaker for the first time.
Persons: Tesla, Thursday’s, Qilai Shen, Dan Ives, Musk, , China Tesla, China’s, Elon Musk’s carmaker, ” Garrett Nelson, Ben Barringer, Chris Isidore Organizations: London CNN —, Bloomberg, Getty, Elon, CFRA Research Locations: Shanghai, China, Cheviot
Data due out in February will show whether the U.K. has entered a technical recession — defined as when the economy shrinks for two consecutive quarters. There was also zero growth in the prior three months, the new figures showed, down from the 0.2% growth previously calculated. LONDON — The U.K. is edging closer to recession after revised figures showed the economy shrank in the previous quarter. Certainly, Rishi Sunak's pledge to grow the economy is now severely in doubt," he said. A near-term drop in interest rates would be a win for Sunak's government, as the U.K. enters an election year.
Persons: Jeremy Hunt, Richard Carter, Cheviot, Rishi Sunak's, Rishi Sunak, Downing, Andrew Bailey Organizations: Office, National Statistics, LONDON, Bank of England
Investors cautioned that tax breaks would not be sufficient to raise business investment while UK interest rates stayed high. But Wednesday, equity markets focused on Hunt's business boosts, such as a move to make full expensing on investment permanent. UK stock markets have underperformed their European and U.S. peers in 2023. The FTSE 100 index 12-month forward price-to-earnings ratio is around 10.7, about half that of U.S. stocks, with Hunt's budget unlikely to move the dial too far. Reuters GraphicsSTERLING SOGGYThe pound struggled to gain any traction on the back of Hunt's budget.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Kwasi Kwarteng, Leigh Himsworth, Simon Harvey, Philip Shaw, Thomas McGarrity, Fuller, Smith, Turner, Oli Creasey, It's, BoE, GILTS, Craig Erlam, Goldman Sachs, Naomi Rovnick, Samuel Indyk, Lucy Raitano, Amanda Cooper, Harry Robertson, Angus MacSwan Organizations: REUTERS, Wednesday, Traders, Investors, Fidelity International, Reuters Graphics, Bank of England, BT, Investec, RBC Wealth Management, Reuters, BREWERS, Debt Management, Reuters Graphics STERLING, Thomson Locations: U.S, Cheviot, gilts, London
European markets head for mixed open as sentiment falters
  + stars: | 2023-11-21 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Jeremy Hunt on the second day of the Conservative Party Conference on Oct. 2, 2023, in Manchester, England. U.K. public sector net borrowing excluding banks was £14.9 billion ($18.68 billion) in October, the second-highest level of borrowing for the month since records began in 1993. It was also higher than consensus forecasts and a March forecast by the independent Office for Budget Responsibility of £13.7 billion. Tax receipts were £2.7 billion higher year on year at £57.9 billion. It comes ahead of a government budget update Wednesday in which Finance Minister Jeremy Hunt may announce tax cuts as he seeks to prioritize growth, according to the BBC.
Persons: Jeremy Hunt, Ruth Gregory, Hunt, Gregory said, Gregory, Lindsay James, — Jenni Reid Organizations: Conservative Party Conference, Capital Economics, Quilter Investors Locations: Manchester, England
Food and non-alcoholic beverages also contributed to the easing of inflation, with the annual rate falling to its lowest since June 2022. The largest downward contribution came from housing and household services, the Office for National Statistics revealed, where the annual rate for CPI hit the lowest since records began in January 1950. Core CPI — which excludes volatile food, energy, alcohol and tobacco prices — fell to an annual 5.7% in October from 6.1% in September. LONDON — U.K. inflation fell sharply in October to 4.6% from 6.7% the previous month, hitting a two-year low. The drop was welcome news for Downing Street after Prime Minister Rishi Sunak committed to halving U.K. inflation back in January, when the annual CPI rate was running above 10%.
Persons: Rishi Sunak, Lindsay James Organizations: National Statistics, CPI, Reuters, LONDON, Bank of England, Downing, Bank of England's, Quilter Investors, Monetary
The U.K. economy flatlined in the third quarter, initial figures showed Friday. Services sector output dropped 0.1% on the quarter, but the decline was offset by a 0.1% increase in construction performance, while the production sector flatlined. U.K. Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt said high inflation remains the "single greatest barrier to economic growth" in the country, with the consumer price index remaining at 6.7% year-on-year in September. While somehow avoiding a recession this year, today's no growth reading means the UK economy is flatlining with only 0.2% economic growth in the last six months." As the Bank of England stated earlier this month that more than half of the impact of higher interest rates on the level of GDP is still to come through, the U.K. economy faces growing headwinds as we approach 2024."
Persons: Jeremy Hunt, Hunt, Lindsay James Organizations: Gross, Services, Chancellor, Quilter Investors, Bank of England Locations: Canary, London, U.K
A view shows the logo of the European Central Bank (ECB) outside its headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany March 16, 2023. That was a relief to financial markets, roiled in recent weeks by a surge in government bond yields led by U.S. Treasuries. The central bank reiterated it would reinvest all the cash it receives from maturing bonds it holds under its 1.7 trillion euro pandemic-era bond scheme until the end of 2024. Instead, the ECB kept the emphasis on slowing inflation, raising investors' conviction that September's rate rise was the central bank's last. And inflation risks have not disappeared.
Persons: Heiko Becker, Christine Lagarde, Lagarde, Piet Christiansen, Gabriele Foa, reinvestments, Marcus Brookes, Sabrina Kanniche, Yoruk Bahceli, Naomi Rovnick, Amanda Cooper, Nick Zieminski Organizations: European Central Bank, REUTERS, ECB, U.S, Treasuries, Reuters, Danske Bank, The Bank of, Algebris, Quilter Investors, Asset Management, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Italy, Copenhagen, Israel, The Bank of Canada, wean, Ukraine
LONDON — U.K. inflation came in at 6.7% in September, slightly ahead of expectations and unchanged from the previous month. For August, the U.K. consumer price index surprised with a dip to 6.7%, below expectations, which sparked the Bank of England to end a run of 14 straight interest rate hikes. The bank had been hiking rates consistently since December 2021 in a bid to rein in inflation, taking its main policy rate from 0.1% to a 15-year high of 5.25% in August. The market is pricing around a 77% chance that the Bank holds rates steady again at its next meeting on November 2nd. For now, the higher for longer interest rate narrative will continue to persist," he said Wednesday in an emailed note.
Persons: Jeremy Hunt, Marcus Brookes, Brookes, Hetal Mehta, BoE Organizations: LONDON, Reuters, National Statistics, Chancellor, Bank of, Bank, Quilter Investors, Bank of England's, Bank of England Locations: Canary, London, Bank of England, British, James's
The deal was the biggest test of the CMA's global power to take on the tech giants since Britain left the European Union. "The new deal will stop Microsoft from locking up competition in cloud gaming as this market takes off, preserving competitive prices and services for UK cloud gaming customers," it said in a statement. Microsoft logo is seen on a smartphone placed on displayed Activision Blizzard's games characters in this illustration taken January 18, 2022. Activision Blizzard said: "The CMA's official approval is great news for our future with Microsoft, and we look forward to becoming part of the Xbox Team." The European Commission said the new commitments given by Microsoft to the CMA did not interfere with its EU commitments.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Jeremy Hunt, Sarah Cardell, Ben Barringer, Brad Smith, Activision Blizzard, Paul Sandle, Yadarisa Shabong, Aditya Soni, Foo Yun Chee, Varun H, Kate Holton, Sonali Paul, Jane Merriman, Sherry Jacob, Phillips Organizations: CMA, Microsoft, LONDON, Activision Blizzard, Sony, Activision, Competition, Markets Authority, Ubisoft Entertainment, Britain, European Union, PlayStation, U.S . Federal Trade Commission, FTC, REUTERS, British, Finance, Xbox, European Commission, Thomson Locations: Britain, Cheviot, London, Bengaluru, Foo
Microsoft logo is seen on a smartphone placed on displayed Activision Blizzard's games characters in this illustration taken January 18, 2022. The deal was blocked in April by the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) which said it could give the U.S. computing giant a stranglehold over the nascent cloud gaming market. The deal was the biggest test of the CMA's global power to take on the tech giants since Britain left the European Union. "The new deal will stop Microsoft from locking up competition in cloud gaming as this market takes off, preserving competitive prices and services for UK cloud gaming customers," it said in a statement. The U.S. Federal Trade Commission opposed the deal but after failing to stop it, the CMA was left standing alone.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Jeremy Hunt, Sarah Cardell, Ben Barringer, Brad Smith, Activision Blizzard, Paul Sandle, Yadarisa, Foo Yun Chee, Varun H, Kate Holton, Sonali Paul, Jane Merriman Organizations: Microsoft, Activision, REUTERS, CMA, LONDON, Activision Blizzard, Competition, Markets Authority, Ubisoft Entertainment, Britain, European Union, PlayStation, Sony, U.S . Federal Trade Commission, FTC, British, Finance, Xbox, European Commission, Thomson Locations: Britain, Cheviot, London, Bengaluru, Foo
A pair of shoes is pictured in a window of a Birkenstock footwear store in Berlin, Germany, January 21, 2021. Birkenstock is the latest high-profile listing to put investor focus on the initial public offering (IPO) market, which is gradually reopening after two relatively quiet years and a burst of activity in September. Due to recent price hikes, worldwide footwear sales are expected to rise just 2.9% over 2022, according to market research firm Euromonitor International. AllBirds (BIRD.O), Dr Martens (DOCS.L), and On Running (ONON.N) have all seen their market value fall since their IPOs in 2021. "When you look at the trend of other shoe companies that have IPO-ed, it doesn't give a great outlook for Birkenstock," Valechha said.
Persons: Fabrizio Bensch, Birkenstock, Kellogg, Mamta, Cheviot, Valechha, Johann Adam Birkenstock, Barbie, Margot Robbie, Jessica Ramirez, Jane Hali, Siobhan Gehin, Roland Berger, Thomas Hayes, sneaker, Dr Martens, Allbirds, Alexandre Arnault, LVMH, Bernard Arnault, Matt Oguz, Iris, L, Ananya Mariam Rajesh, Helen Reid, Emma, Victoria Farr, Echo Wang, Abigail Summerville, Deepa Babington Organizations: REUTERS, LVMH, New York Stock Exchange, Euromonitor, Associates, Dick's Sporting, Reuters, Partners, Norges Bank Investment Management, Thomson Locations: Berlin, Germany, New York, London, Neustadt, United States, U.S, Cannes, Silicon Valley
NEW ORLEANS (AP) — Louisiana folklorist Nick Spitzer and Mississippi blues musician R.L. Boyce are among nine 2023 National Heritage Fellows set to be celebrated later this month by the National Endowment for the Arts, one of the nation’s highest honors in the folk and traditional arts. He founded the Louisiana Folklife Program, produced the five-LP Louisiana Folklife Recording Series, created the Louisiana Folklife Pavilion at the 1984 World’s Fair in New Orleans and helped launch the Baton Rouge Blues Festival. “But see, I play the old way, and nobody today can play my style, just me.”Boyce has played northern Mississippi blues for more than half a century. He has shared stages with blues greats John Lee Hooker, a 1983 NEA National Heritage Fellow, and Howlin’ Wolf.
Persons: Nick Spitzer, R.L, Boyce, Spitzer, Bess Lomax Hawes, ” Spitzer, Willie Nelson, Ray Charles, Dolly Parton, Fats Domino, , Hawes, ” Boyce, , John Lee Hooker, Howlin ’ Wolf, Jessie Mae Hemphill, Ed Eugene Carriere, Michael A, Cummings, Joe DeLeon “ Little Joe ” Hernandez, Roen, Elizabeth James, Perry, Luis Tapia, Wu Man Organizations: ORLEANS, Heritage Fellows, National Endowment, Arts, Heritage Fellowship, Library of Congress, Washington , D.C, Tulane University’s School of Liberal Arts, Tulane, Louisiana Folklife Program, Louisiana Folklife, Baton Rouge Blues, Smithsonian’s Center for Folklife, Heritage, Associated Press, NEA, Blues, Heritage Fellow Locations: Louisiana, Mississippi, Washington ,, New Orleans, Acadiana, Washington, Indianola , Washington, New York, Temple , Texas, Waimea , Hawaii, Dartmouth , Massachusetts, Santa Fe , New Mexico, Carlsbad , California
A passageway near the Bank of England (BOE) in the City of London, U.K., on Thursday, March 18, 2021. LONDON — The Bank of England on Thursday ended a run of 14 straight interest rate hikes after new data showed inflation is now running below expectations. Investors on Wednesday ramped up bets that the Bank would pause its interest rate hiking cycle after U.K. inflation came in significantly below expectations for August. Thomas Verbraken, executive director of risk management research at MSCI, said the burning question is whether the Bank of England's Thursday decision signals the peak of the interest rate cycle. Forward looking indicators suggest the U.K. economy is already flirting with recession, a backdrop consistent with cooling wage growth and a policy pivot," Mehdi said.
Persons: BOE, Andrew Bailey, We'll, Marcus Brookes, BoE, Brookes, Thomas Verbraken, Hussain Mehdi, Mehdi Organizations: Bank of England, City of, LONDON, Bank, U.S, Monetary, MPC, Quilter Investors, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of England's, HSBC Asset Management, Bank of, Fed, European Central Bank Locations: City, City of London, Bank of England's
Arm shares were even higher earlier but pared some of those gains. It comes after Arm shares rallied nearly 25% on the company's first day of trade on Thursday. With the rally ongoing, Arm continues to trade at a premium to chip giant Nvidia, even as its faces headwinds to its growth. SoftBank has faced criticism about its investment strategy with its massive Vision Fund tech investment arm posting a significant loss in its last fiscal year. This has been enough to put off some investors from the Arm IPO.
Persons: Ben Barringer, Cheviot, CNBC's, SoftBank Organizations: Arm Holdings, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Vision Fund
In August, the Bank of England increased interest rates for the 14th time in a row. LONDON — U.K. headline inflation cooled sharply in July to an annual 6.8%, but the core consumer price index remained unchanged, posing a potential headache for the Bank of England. Analysts noted that the participation rate broadly held steady, while the employment rate declined, signaling a weakening in labor demand. U.K. Finance Minister Jeremy Hunt said the drop in headline inflation showed the government's action to tackle inflation is "working," but "we're not at the finish line." Cost-of-living crisis 'far from over'With headline inflation falling to 6.8% and wages growing at record pace, the U.K.'s prolonged cost-of-living crisis may be showing signs of abating, said David Henry, investment manager at Quilter Cheviot.
Persons: Jeremy Hunt, Hunt, David Henry, Henry, Suren, Thiru Organizations: Bank of England, LONDON, Reuters, National Statistics, Monetary, Analysts, Office, Finance, Institute of Chartered Accountants Locations: CPIH, Cheviot, England, Wales
VIEW Bank of England raises rates for a 14th time
  + stars: | 2023-08-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +7 min
The BoE raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 5.25% and said high inflation meant it was unlikely to stop raising rates any time soon. However, with Thursday's decision, traders began to price in a lower peak in UK rates. MONEY MARKETS: Interest-rate derivatives showed traders believe UK rates will peak around 5.67% by March, compared with an expected peak of 5.73% in the run-up to the decision. Rising interest rates means higher borrowing costs, which will lead to larger monthly mortgage payments for many homeowners." The Bank of England remains committed to bringing inflation down, unfortunately raising interest rates is one of the only tools the Bank can use to sap demand out of the economy."
Persons: BoE, Sterling, VIVEK PAUL, we’ll, STUART COLE, JEREMY BATSTONE, CARR, RAYMOND JAMES, MARCUS BROOKES, ” SEEMA SHAH, Rishi Sunak, GILES COGHLAN, THOMAS PUGH, JOHN LEIPER, Amanda Cooper, Samuel Indyk Organizations: Bank of England, FTSE, BLACKROCK, LONDON, TOM HOPKINS, Bank of, RSM, Bank, EMEA, Thomson Locations: LONDON, EUROPEAN, U.S
"Bears in 2023 continue to be proven wrong — this has been one of the most hated rallies in recent memory. Given this uncertain backdrop, investors with a budget of $100,000 might be wondering where and how much to invest in each asset class. For those looking to invest $100,000, the CIO advised caution on allocating too much to stocks and bonds. He highlighted the Federal Reserve's restrictive monetary policy and said the impact of last year's interest rate hikes is "yet to be fully felt in the economy." The CIO is particularly bullish on real estate as he believes it offers a hedge against inflation.
Persons: Jeff Henriksen, James McManus, McManus, David Henry, Cheviot, Henry, we've, Ben Fraser, Fraser Organizations: Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, . Investment, UBS, Bears, Thorpe, CNBC, JPMorgan, CNBC Pro, Angels ETF, Aspen Funds, Investors, Estate Investment Locations: U.S, Real, Fraser
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